Group-stage matches

72 matches, June 11–27. C = Claude · G = Gemini · O = OpenAI. Kickoff times in UTC.

WebBaselineEnriched

API, no tools + standardized context block (same data for every model).

Group A

Jun 11, 19:00 UTC · round 1 · Mexico City
MexicovsSouth Africa
C2–0
G2–0
O2–0
▸Reasoning
  • C2–0(high) — Host Mexico's altitude and home advantage plus superior squad outweigh South Africa's lowest ranking in the group.
  • G2–0(high) — Mexico's formidable home advantage combined with a significant Elo rating superiority gives them clear control over South Africa.
  • O2–0(medium) — Mexico have a clear Elo edge plus strong host-context benefits (familiar conditions, crowd, reduced travel) against a South Africa side that tends to struggle for chance creation versus top-20-level opponents.
Jun 12, 02:00 UTC · round 1 · Guadalajara (Zapopan)
South KoreavsCzech Republic
C1–1
G1–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
  • C1–1(medium) — Korea's higher FIFA ranking and Son-led attack edge a balanced Czech side in a tight contest.
  • G1–1(low) — A very tight matchup between two evenly rated teams where South Korea's attacking pace meets the Czech Republic's structured defense, likely resulting in a draw.
  • O1–1(low) — The Elo gap is marginal and the matchup pits Korea’s pace/pressing transitions against Czech physicality and set-piece threat, making a draw the modal outcome.
Jun 18, 16:00 UTC · round 2 · Atlanta
Czech RepublicvsSouth Africa
C1–1
G2–0
O1–0
▸Reasoning
  • C1–1(medium) — Czech Elo and European pedigree favor them but South Africa's improving form keeps it competitive.
  • G2–0(medium) — The Czechs' physical and tactical edge over South Africa should be enough to secure a comfortable victory.
  • O1–0(medium) — Czech Republic’s higher baseline quality (Elo) and more reliable defensive structure/box presence should edge a low-scoring game versus South Africa.
Jun 19, 01:00 UTC · round 2 · Guadalajara (Zapopan)
MexicovsSouth Korea
C1–1
G2–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
  • C1–1(medium) — Hosts with altitude and crowd advantage face a strong Korea side, making a close result likely.
  • G2–1(medium) — South Korea poses a transitional threat, but Mexico's home conditions and historical resilience in the group stage edge the prediction in their favor.
  • O1–1(medium) — Mexico rate higher and benefit from home conditions, but South Korea’s athletic pressing and direct wide play can neutralize possession-heavy phases and pull this toward a draw.
Jun 25, 01:00 UTC · round 3 · Mexico City
Czech RepublicvsMexico
C1–1
G1–2
O1–2
▸Reasoning
  • C1–1(medium) — Mexico's higher ranking and tournament quality give them the edge even on a neutral host venue.
  • G1–2(medium) — Operating as the de facto away team against the co-hosts, the Czech Republic will struggle to contain Mexico's intensity in front of a partisan crowd.
  • O1–2(low) — On ratings this is close, but Mexico’s stronger Elo and tournament-host context slightly outweigh Czech set-piece strengths in a tight, swingy matchup.
Jun 25, 01:00 UTC · round 3 · Monterrey (Guadalupe)
South AfricavsSouth Korea
C1–1
G0–2
O0–1
▸Reasoning
  • C1–1(medium) — Korea's superior individual quality and ranking favor them despite South Africa's competitiveness.
  • G0–2(high) — South Korea's technical superiority and attacking firepower heavily outweigh South Africa's defensive capabilities.
  • O0–1(medium) — South Korea’s sizable Elo advantage and superior attacking pace/ball progression should translate into more high-quality chances even if South Africa keep it compact.

Group B

Jun 12, 19:00 UTC · round 1 · Toronto
CanadavsBosnia & Herzegovina
C1–1
G2–0
O1–0
▸Reasoning
  • C1–1(low) — Home advantage and Canada's pace edge balance Bosnia's stronger FIFA-ranked individual quality through Dzeko-led attack.
  • G2–0(medium) — Canada's athletic attack combined with home advantage should overcome a declining Bosnian side.
  • O1–0(medium) — Canada’s higher Elo and strong transition play plus host-region conditions give them an edge over a lower-rated Bosnia side that can struggle to create chances without control.
Jun 13, 19:00 UTC · round 1 · San Francisco Bay Area (Santa Clara)
QatarvsSwitzerland
C0–2
G0–3
O0–2
▸Reasoning
  • C0–2(high) — Switzerland's superior Elo (1891 vs 1421) and European depth make Qatar heavy underdogs despite AFC home-continent comfort.
  • G0–3(high) — Switzerland's structural discipline and superior Elo rating make them heavy favorites against a vulnerable Qatar defense.
  • O0–2(high) — Switzerland’s large Elo gap and tactical consistency should translate into territorial control and chance quality against a Qatar team that tends to suffer versus intense pressing.
Jun 18, 19:00 UTC · round 2 · Los Angeles (Inglewood)
SwitzerlandvsBosnia & Herzegovina
C2–1
G2–0
O2–0
▸Reasoning
  • C2–1(medium) — Switzerland's tournament pedigree and squad balance outweigh Bosnia's individual flair in a tight UEFA clash.
  • G2–0(high) — Swiss midfield control and major tournament experience give them a clear edge over an inconsistent Bosnia.
  • O2–0(high) — Switzerland’s superior midfield structure and defensive reliability, supported by a big ratings advantage, make them strong favorites to limit Bosnia’s scoring looks.
Jun 18, 22:00 UTC · round 2 · Vancouver
CanadavsQatar
C2–0
G3–1
O2–0
▸Reasoning
  • C2–0(high) — Host Canada's higher ranking, athleticism and home crowd should overpower a limited Qatar side.
  • G3–1(high) — Canada's pace in transition will be too much for Qatar, especially playing on home soil.
  • O2–0(medium) — Canada’s pace and athleticism match up well against Qatar’s deeper block, and the Elo differential points to Canada generating more high-value transitions and set-piece pressure.
Jun 24, 19:00 UTC · round 3 · Vancouver
SwitzerlandvsCanada
C1–1
G1–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
  • C1–1(low) — Switzerland's class slightly favored but Canada's home support and counterattacking threat keep this close.
  • G1–1(medium) — A tight tactical battle between the group's best teams, with Canada's host energy balancing Swiss quality.
  • O1–1(medium) — Switzerland are the stronger side on ratings, but Canada’s direct threat and tournament-venue familiarity increase upset/draw probability in a matchup of contrasting styles.
Jun 24, 19:00 UTC · round 3 · Seattle
Bosnia & HerzegovinavsQatar
C2–0
G2–1
O1–0
▸Reasoning
  • C2–0(medium) — Bosnia's stronger European attacking quality and ranking edge make them clear favorites over Qatar.
  • G2–1(low) — A closely matched contest, but Bosnia's physicality and European pedigree give them a slight advantage.
  • O1–0(low) — Bosnia’s higher Elo and set-piece/box presence give a slight edge, but both teams project as low-margin attacks so a draw is a major outcome.

Group C

Jun 13, 22:00 UTC · round 1 · New York/New Jersey (East Rutherford)
BrazilvsMorocco
C2–1
G2–1
O2–1
▸Reasoning
  • C2–1 — Brazil's superior squad depth and individual quality edge a strong, well-organized Morocco side.
  • G2–1(medium) — Brazil's attacking depth slightly edges Morocco's highly organized defensive block in a tightly contested match.
  • O2–1(medium) — Brazil’s superior top-end talent and Elo edge should tell over 90 minutes, but Morocco’s cohesive pressing/transition game keeps upset and draw chances meaningful.
Jun 14, 01:00 UTC · round 1 · Boston (Foxborough)
HaitivsScotland
C0–2
G0–2
O0–2
▸Reasoning
  • C0–2 — Scotland's higher ranking and European tournament experience outclass debutant-level Haiti.
  • G0–2(high) — Scotland's physical midfield and superior tactical discipline overwhelm Haiti's defense.
  • O0–2(medium) — Scotland’s higher Elo and stronger defensive structure/physicality profile make them clear favorites against a Haiti side that can be dangerous in bursts but concedes chances.
Jun 19, 22:00 UTC · round 2 · Boston (Foxborough)
ScotlandvsMorocco
C1–2
G0–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
  • C1–2 — Morocco's deeper top-tier talent and recent World Cup pedigree give them the advantage.
  • G0–1(medium) — Morocco's technical superiority and experience in major tournaments allow them to break down a resilient Scottish side.
  • O1–1(medium) — Morocco rate slightly higher on both FIFA and Elo and are more dynamic in wide/transition phases, but Scotland’s set-piece threat and compact block raise the draw likelihood.
Jun 20, 24:30 UTC · round 2 · Philadelphia
BrazilvsHaiti
C3–0
G4–0
O3–0
▸Reasoning
  • C3–0 — Massive gulf in quality makes a comfortable Brazil win highly likely.
  • G4–0(high) — A massive disparity in individual quality and Elo ratings leads to a comfortable and dominant victory for Brazil.
  • O3–0(high) — The Elo gap and Brazil’s depth across every line point to sustained chance creation and control, with Haiti unlikely to withstand pressure for long.
Jun 24, 22:00 UTC · round 3 · Miami (Miami Gardens)
ScotlandvsBrazil
C0–2
G0–2
O0–2
▸Reasoning
  • C0–2 — Brazil's attacking firepower should overcome a disciplined but limited Scotland.
  • G0–2(high) — Brazil's superior talent dictates possession and creates too many chances for Scotland to withstand over 90 minutes.
  • O0–2(medium) — Brazil’s quality advantage and ability to break low blocks through individual actions should outweigh Scotland’s organization, though tournament game-state management can keep it tight early.
Jun 24, 22:00 UTC · round 3 · Atlanta
MoroccovsHaiti
C2–0
G3–0
O2–0
▸Reasoning
  • C2–0 — Morocco's class and organization should comfortably control the weakest side in the group.
  • G3–0(high) — Morocco controls the tempo completely against a significantly lower-ranked Haitian team lacking top-tier international experience.
  • O2–0(medium) — Morocco’s stronger Elo, pressing intensity, and defensive consistency make them solid favorites, with Haiti’s main path relying on counterattacks and variance.

Group D

Jun 13, 01:00 UTC · round 1 · Los Angeles (Inglewood)
USAvsParaguay
C1–1
G1–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
  • C1–1(low) — Home advantage for the hosts offsets Paraguay's higher Elo and defensive solidity.
  • G1–1(medium) — USA's home advantage is neutralized by Paraguay's defensive solidity and superior Elo rating.
  • O1–1(medium) — Paraguay’s substantially higher Elo suggests a slight edge, but the USA’s host-context and athletic pressing profile make a draw very live.
Jun 14, 04:00 UTC · round 1 · Vancouver
AustraliavsTurkey
C1–2
G1–2
O0–1
▸Reasoning
  • C1–2(medium) — Turkey's superior individual quality and top Elo rating make them favorites.
  • G1–2(high) — Turkey's technical midfield and attacking depth outmatch Australia's organized but limited squad.
  • O0–1(medium) — Turkey’s clear Elo advantage points to more control and chance volume, while Australia’s organization keeps it tight.
Jun 19, 19:00 UTC · round 2 · Seattle
USAvsAustralia
C1–1
G2–1
O2–1
▸Reasoning
  • C1–1(low) — Home crowd and slightly better attacking talent give the USA the edge over a disciplined Australia.
  • G2–1(medium) — Home crowd momentum and athletic edge give the USA a slight advantage in a crucial group stage fixture.
  • O2–1(medium) — On similar overall levels, the USA’s home advantage and higher-end attacking pace tilt a close game their way.
Jun 20, 03:00 UTC · round 2 · San Francisco Bay Area (Santa Clara)
TurkeyvsParaguay
C1–1
G1–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
  • C1–1(low) — Turkey's creativity edges Paraguay but the South Americans' organization keeps it close.
  • G1–1(medium) — Paraguay's resilient low block will frustrate Turkey's technical attackers, leading to a hard-fought stalemate.
  • O1–1(medium) — Elo favors Turkey but Paraguay’s defensive structure and transition threat often neutralize possession-heavy opponents.
Jun 26, 02:00 UTC · round 3 · Los Angeles (Inglewood)
TurkeyvsUSA
C1–1
G2–2
O2–1
▸Reasoning
  • C1–1(low) — Turkey's top rating versus USA home support makes this a near toss-up.
  • G2–2(low) — Turkey's superior underlying quality (Elo 1911) clashes with the USA's desperate home-field push, resulting in a high-scoring draw.
  • O2–1(medium) — Turkey’s Elo and technical midfield quality give them the stronger baseline, with the USA dangerous but more variable in chance conversion.
Jun 26, 02:00 UTC · round 3 · San Francisco Bay Area (Santa Clara)
ParaguayvsAustralia
C1–1
G1–0
O1–0
▸Reasoning
  • C1–1(low) — Paraguay's higher Elo and physical balance slightly outweigh Australia's structured play.
  • G1–0(medium) — Paraguay's tactical discipline and CONMEBOL qualifying pedigree give them a narrow edge in a tight, low-scoring affair.
  • O1–0(medium) — Paraguay’s higher Elo and typically compact, duel-winning style match up well against Australia’s direct approach.

Group E

Jun 14, 17:00 UTC · round 1 · Houston
GermanyvsCuraçao
C3–0
G4–0
O3–0
▸Reasoning
  • C3–0(high) — Germany's vastly superior squad depth and quality overwhelm the lowest-ranked side in the group.
  • G4–0(high) — Germany's overwhelming tactical and individual superiority will easily dismantle a massively outgunned Curaçao side.
  • O3–0(high) — Germany’s much higher Elo and depth should overwhelm Curaçao over 90 minutes, especially in chance creation and set-piece defending.
Jun 14, 23:00 UTC · round 1 · Philadelphia
Ivory CoastvsEcuador
C1–1
G1–2
O1–2
▸Reasoning
  • C1–1(low) — Ecuador's higher Elo and solid defensive structure narrowly edge a strong, athletic Ivory Coast in a tight matchup.
  • G1–2(medium) — Ecuador's high-intensity pressing and superior Elo rating give them a slight but decisive edge over a talented Ivory Coast.
  • O1–2(medium) — Ecuador’s very strong Elo profile and cohesive pressing/transition game give them a narrow edge over an athletic but more variable Ivory Coast.
Jun 20, 20:00 UTC · round 2 · Toronto
GermanyvsIvory Coast
C2–0
G2–0
O2–1
▸Reasoning
  • C2–0(medium) — Germany's class and FIFA-ranking gap should prevail despite Ivory Coast's physicality and pace on the counter.
  • G2–0(medium) — Germany's structured midfield control and possession game will stifle Ivory Coast's attempts at rapid counter-attacks.
  • O2–1(medium) — Germany’s control in possession and deeper bench rate slightly better than Ivory Coast’s direct threat, though the matchup is physically demanding.
Jun 21, 24:00 UTC · round 2 · Kansas City
EcuadorvsCuraçao
C2–0
G3–0
O2–0
▸Reasoning
  • C2–0(medium) — Ecuador's organized defense and CONMEBOL pedigree clearly outclass Curaçao.
  • G3–0(high) — Ecuador's pace and physicality outmatch Curaçao in every department, making a comfortable victory highly probable.
  • O2–0(high) — Ecuador’s large Elo gap plus intensity without the ball should limit Curaçao’s buildup and produce a multi-chance advantage.
Jun 25, 20:00 UTC · round 3 · Philadelphia
CuraçaovsIvory Coast
C0–2
G0–3
O0–2
▸Reasoning
  • C0–2(medium) — Ivory Coast's superior individual quality and athleticism should comfortably beat Curaçao.
  • G0–3(high) — Ivory Coast's attacking depth and athleticism will overwhelm a Curaçao defense struggling against tier-one opposition.
  • O0–2(high) — Ivory Coast’s superior athleticism and individual quality across the front line should translate into clear chances against a lower-rated defense.
Jun 25, 20:00 UTC · round 3 · New York/New Jersey (East Rutherford)
EcuadorvsGermany
C1–1
G1–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
  • C1–1(low) — Germany's elite quality favors them, though Ecuador's strong Elo and resilience make an upset or draw plausible.
  • G1–1(low) — A fiercely contested tactical battle between two highly rated teams that is very likely to end in a pragmatic draw.
  • O1–1(medium) — With near-equal Elo, this profiles as a tight game where Ecuador’s transitions and Germany’s possession control balance out, making a draw most likely.

Group F

Jun 14, 20:00 UTC · round 1 · Dallas (Arlington)
NetherlandsvsJapan
C2–1
G2–1
O2–1
▸Reasoning
  • C2–1(medium) — Netherlands' superior squad depth and individual quality edge a dangerous, well-organized Japan side.
  • G2–1(medium) — Netherlands has superior individual quality, but Japan's intense pressing and tactical discipline makes it a tight contest.
  • O2–1(medium) — Netherlands have the higher overall talent level and stronger top-end physicality, but Japan’s high-tempo press and strong Elo keep it close.
Jun 15, 02:00 UTC · round 1 · Monterrey (Guadalupe)
SwedenvsTunisia
C1–1
G1–0
O1–0
▸Reasoning
  • C1–1(low) — Sweden's attacking talent slightly favors them but Tunisia's defensive discipline keeps it tight.
  • G1–0(medium) — Sweden's physical advantage and set-piece threat edge out a defensively organized Tunisian side in a low-scoring affair.
  • O1–0(medium) — Sweden’s set-piece threat and defensive structure rate above Tunisia’s chance creation, though Tunisia’s compactness makes a low-scoring game likely.
Jun 20, 17:00 UTC · round 2 · Houston
NetherlandsvsSweden
C2–1
G2–0
O2–0
▸Reasoning
  • C2–1(medium) — Netherlands' higher FIFA ranking and Elo plus deeper quality make them clear favorites.
  • G2–0(high) — The Dutch midfield control and attacking depth will likely overwhelm Sweden's deeper defensive block over 90 minutes.
  • O2–0(medium) — A large Elo gap and Netherlands’ superior progression/finishing quality point to control of territory and chances against a slower Swedish buildup.
Jun 21, 04:00 UTC · round 2 · Monterrey (Guadalupe)
TunisiavsJapan
C0–2
G0–2
O0–1
▸Reasoning
  • C0–2(medium) — Japan's technical superiority and pace outmatch a defensive Tunisia despite likely heat.
  • G0–2(high) — Japan's technical superiority and quick transitions should break down Tunisia's defense relatively comfortably.
  • O0–1(medium) — Japan’s midfield intensity and ball security should generate more sustained pressure than Tunisia can match, even if Tunisia keep it tight defensively.
Jun 25, 23:00 UTC · round 3 · Dallas (Arlington)
JapanvsSweden
C2–1
G2–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
  • C2–1(low) — Japan's mobility and cohesion give them the edge over a physical but slower Sweden.
  • G2–1(medium) — A clash of styles where Japan's mobility and intricate passing should ultimately unlock Sweden's physical defense.
  • O1–1(medium) — Japan’s pressing and technical edge are counterbalanced by Sweden’s aerial and transition danger, making a balanced draw the modal outcome.
Jun 25, 23:00 UTC · round 3 · Kansas City
TunisiavsNetherlands
C0–2
G0–3
O0–2
▸Reasoning
  • C0–2(medium) — Netherlands' clear talent gap and attacking firepower should overcome Tunisia's organization.
  • G0–3(high) — A clear mismatch in squad depth and attacking firepower strongly favors a comfortable Dutch victory.
  • O0–2(medium) — Netherlands’ significant quality advantage and ability to break mid/low blocks should prevail over Tunisia’s defensive organization in a controlled away win.

Group G

Jun 15, 19:00 UTC · round 1 · Seattle
BelgiumvsEgypt
C2–0
G2–0
O2–0
▸Reasoning
  • C2–0(medium) — Belgium's superior squad depth and individual quality outweigh Egypt's Salah-led threat.
  • G2–0(high) — Belgium's significant Elo advantage and elite playmaking quality will dictate possession and break down Egypt's structured defense.
  • O2–0(medium) — Belgium’s higher Elo and deeper top-end attacking quality make them clear favorites against an Egypt side that can defend but creates fewer high-quality chances.
Jun 16, 01:00 UTC · round 1 · Los Angeles (Inglewood)
IranvsNew Zealand
C2–0
G2–0
O1–0
▸Reasoning
  • C2–0(medium) — Iran's organized defense and higher ranking favor them over a physical but lower-quality New Zealand.
  • G2–0(high) — Iran's tournament experience, tactical discipline, and superior attacking physicality will overpower a weaker New Zealand side.
  • O1–0(medium) — Iran’s stronger Elo and generally more cohesive tournament-tested defensive structure should edge a low-scoring game versus New Zealand.
Jun 21, 19:00 UTC · round 2 · Los Angeles (Inglewood)
BelgiumvsIran
C1–1
G1–0
O2–1
▸Reasoning
  • C1–1(low) — Belgium are favored but Iran's compact, disciplined setup can frustrate and grab a point.
  • G1–0(medium) — Iran's notoriously compact low block will frustrate the Belgians, but individual brilliance should eventually secure a narrow victory.
  • O2–1(medium) — Belgium’s possession and chance-creation ceiling is higher, while Iran’s compact block and transition threat keeps the upset probability non-trivial.
Jun 22, 01:00 UTC · round 2 · Vancouver
New ZealandvsEgypt
C1–1
G0–1
O0–1
▸Reasoning
  • C1–1(low) — Egypt's individual quality, especially Salah, edges a competitive but limited New Zealand.
  • G0–1(medium) — Egypt's pace in transition provides a critical edge over a resilient but technically outmatched New Zealand squad.
  • O0–1(medium) — Egypt’s rating edge and greater individual quality in the final third should be decisive against a New Zealand side that often struggles to generate sustained pressure.
Jun 27, 03:00 UTC · round 3 · Seattle
EgyptvsIran
C1–1
G1–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
  • C1–1(low) — Two evenly matched, defensively solid sides likely cancel out in a tight contest.
  • G1–1(low) — A cautious, tightly contested match between evenly matched defensive setups likely ends in a stalemate that suits both qualification hopes.
  • O1–1(low) — The teams are close in overall strength (Iran slightly higher Elo) and both tend toward controlled, defense-first game states, making a draw the modal outcome.
Jun 27, 03:00 UTC · round 3 · Vancouver
New ZealandvsBelgium
C0–2
G0–3
O0–2
▸Reasoning
  • C0–2(medium) — Belgium's clear talent gap should produce a comfortable win over New Zealand.
  • G0–3(high) — A massive gulf in class across all areas of the pitch guarantees a comfortable and dominant win for Belgium, even with squad rotation.
  • O0–2(high) — The large Elo gap plus Belgium’s superior depth and ability to break down lower blocks points strongly to a Belgium win even allowing for tournament variance.

Group H

Jun 15, 16:00 UTC · round 1 · Atlanta
SpainvsCape Verde
C3–0
G3–0
O3–0
▸Reasoning
  • C3–0(high) — Spain's elite squad and far superior ratings overwhelm a spirited but lower-tier Cape Verde side.
  • G3–0(high) — Spain's overwhelming possession and technical superiority will comfortably break down Cape Verde's defensive structure.
  • O3–0(high) — Spain’s large Elo/FIFA edge and possession-based control should overwhelm Cape Verde over 90 minutes barring extreme heat/variance.
Jun 15, 22:00 UTC · round 1 · Miami (Miami Gardens)
Saudi ArabiavsUruguay
C0–2
G0–2
O1–2
▸Reasoning
  • C0–2(medium) — Uruguay's quality and experience under a strong attack outclass Saudi Arabia despite their organization.
  • G0–2(high) — Uruguay's high-intensity pressing under Marcelo Bielsa will force critical errors from the Saudi backline.
  • O1–2(medium) — Uruguay’s higher Elo and superior duel/transition quality make them favorites, though Saudi’s compact low block can keep it close.
Jun 21, 16:00 UTC · round 2 · Atlanta
SpainvsSaudi Arabia
C3–0
G3–0
O2–0
▸Reasoning
  • C3–0(high) — Spain's dominance in possession and finishing should comfortably break down Saudi Arabia.
  • G3–0(high) — Spain's midfield control will dictate the tempo, suffocating Saudi Arabia's attempts to build from the back.
  • O2–0(high) — Spain’s technical dominance and chance creation rate should break down Saudi Arabia more consistently than Saudi can threaten in possession.
Jun 21, 22:00 UTC · round 2 · Miami (Miami Gardens)
UruguayvsCape Verde
C2–0
G2–0
O2–0
▸Reasoning
  • C2–0(medium) — Uruguay's depth and tournament pedigree give them a clear edge over Cape Verde.
  • G2–0(high) — Uruguay's transitional speed and attacking depth will prove too much for Cape Verde to contain over a full 90 minutes.
  • O2–0(medium) — Uruguay’s athleticism and set-piece/box presence plus a big Elo gap point to a controlled win even if Cape Verde defend deep.
Jun 27, 24:00 UTC · round 3 · Houston
Cape VerdevsSaudi Arabia
C1–1
G1–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
  • C1–1(low) — Nearly identical ratings make this the group's most evenly matched, likely decisive fixture for third place.
  • G1–1(medium) — An evenly matched fixture between two similarly rated sides where Cape Verde's defensive solidity is likely to cancel out Saudi Arabia's patient build-up play.
  • O1–1(low) — With near-identical Elo ratings, this profiles as a tight, low-margin match where tactical discipline and set pieces likely decide little.
Jun 27, 24:00 UTC · round 3 · Guadalajara (Zapopan)
UruguayvsSpain
C1–2
G1–1
O1–2
▸Reasoning
  • C1–2(medium) — Spain's superior overall quality edges a competitive Uruguay side in the group's marquee clash.
  • G1–1(medium) — A tight tactical battle between Spain's possession control and Uruguay's aggressive pressing system that frequently disrupts rhythm, making a draw highly probable.
  • O1–2(medium) — Spain’s higher Elo and ball control give them the edge, but Uruguay’s pressing and direct transitions keep draw/upset chances meaningful.

Group I

Jun 16, 19:00 UTC · round 1 · New York/New Jersey (East Rutherford)
FrancevsSenegal
C2–1
G2–0
O2–1
▸Reasoning
  • C2–1(medium) — France's superior squad depth and individual quality edge a strong, physical Senegal side.
  • G2–0(high) — France's overwhelming squad depth and quality across the pitch should be too much for Senegal to contain over 90 minutes.
  • O2–1(medium) — France’s elite depth and top-end quality (FIFA #1, Elo 2063) should edge a physically strong Senegal side, but Senegal’s pace/press keeps it competitive.
Jun 16, 22:00 UTC · round 1 · Boston (Foxborough)
IraqvsNorway
C1–2
G0–3
O0–2
▸Reasoning
  • C1–2(medium) — Norway's firepower with Haaland and Odegaard outclasses a lower-ranked Iraq.
  • G0–3(high) — Norway's attacking firepower, led by Erling Haaland, gives them a distinct advantage over the Iraqi defense.
  • O0–2(medium) — Norway’s clear rating edge (Elo 1914 vs 1607) and superior attacking individual quality make them strong favorites against Iraq.
Jun 22, 21:00 UTC · round 2 · Philadelphia
FrancevsIraq
C3–0
G4–0
O3–0
▸Reasoning
  • C3–0(high) — Huge gap in squad quality and ranking heavily favors France.
  • G4–0(high) — France possesses vastly superior individual talent and tactical structure compared to a much lower-ranked Iraqi side.
  • O3–0(high) — This is a pronounced mismatch on both rankings and depth, with France able to control territory and create high-quality chances consistently.
Jun 23, 24:00 UTC · round 2 · New York/New Jersey (East Rutherford)
NorwayvsSenegal
C1–1
G1–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
  • C1–1(low) — Evenly matched sides with Norway's attack against Senegal's athletic balance.
  • G1–1(medium) — A closely contested battle where Norway's star attackers face Senegal's solid physical defense, likely resulting in a stalemate.
  • O1–1(low) — A near coin-flip matchup: Norway’s higher Elo is offset by Senegal’s athleticism and transitions, making a draw slightly the modal outcome.
Jun 26, 19:00 UTC · round 3 · Boston (Foxborough)
NorwayvsFrance
C1–2
G1–2
O1–2
▸Reasoning
  • C1–2(medium) — France's depth and tournament pedigree outweigh Norway's star duo.
  • G1–2(medium) — While Norway poses a threat through their elite attackers, France's balanced and experienced squad should secure the victory.
  • O1–2(medium) — France’s overall quality and tournament know-how outweigh Norway’s threat, though Norway’s direct attacking can keep it close.
Jun 26, 19:00 UTC · round 3 · Toronto
SenegalvsIraq
C2–0
G2–0
O2–0
▸Reasoning
  • C2–0(medium) — Senegal's stronger squad and ranking should control this matchup.
  • G2–0(high) — Senegal's physical superiority and greater experience in major tournaments should lead to a comfortable win against Iraq.
  • O2–0(medium) — Senegal’s physical edge and higher baseline strength (FIFA 14, Elo 1860) should translate into territory and chances against Iraq.

Group J

Jun 17, 01:00 UTC · round 1 · Kansas City
ArgentinavsAlgeria
C2–0
G2–0
O2–0
▸Reasoning
  • C2–0(high) — Argentina's world-class squad and top-3 ranking heavily outclass Algeria despite Algeria's solid CAF pedigree.
  • G2–0(high) — Argentina's overwhelming squad depth and tournament experience comfortably outmatch Algeria's defensive capabilities.
  • O2–0(high) — Argentina’s large Elo edge and deeper elite talent base should translate into territorial control and chance volume against an Algeria side that struggles to sustain possession versus top teams.
Jun 17, 04:00 UTC · round 1 · San Francisco Bay Area (Santa Clara)
AustriavsJordan
C2–0
G2–0
O2–1
▸Reasoning
  • C2–0(medium) — Austria's higher ranking and stronger European-based core should overcome a disciplined but limited Jordan side.
  • G2–0(high) — Austria's high-intensity pressing system will likely overwhelm Jordan's structure over 90 minutes.
  • O2–1(medium) — Austria’s higher Elo and more proven top-level intensity in pressing/transition phases make them favorites, though Jordan’s compact defending keeps the draw live.
Jun 22, 17:00 UTC · round 2 · Dallas (Arlington)
ArgentinavsAustria
C2–0
G2–1
O2–1
▸Reasoning
  • C2–0(high) — Argentina's individual quality and tournament experience give them a clear edge over an organized Austria.
  • G2–1(medium) — Austria's tactical discipline will pose a stern test, but Argentina's individual brilliance in the final third gives them the edge.
  • O2–1(medium) — Argentina’s superior individual quality and game management in tournament settings outweigh Austria’s organization and athleticism, especially over 90 minutes.
Jun 23, 03:00 UTC · round 2 · San Francisco Bay Area (Santa Clara)
JordanvsAlgeria
C1–1
G1–2
O1–1
▸Reasoning
  • C1–1(low) — Algeria's superior ranking and attacking talent edge a competitive but closely matched fixture.
  • G1–2(medium) — Algeria possesses superior attacking talent that should eventually break down a resilient Jordanian block.
  • O1–1(medium) — Algeria’s stronger Elo and attack depth give them more ways to score, but Jordan’s low-block discipline and set-piece threat push this toward a tight, draw-prone game.
Jun 28, 02:00 UTC · round 3 · Kansas City
AlgeriavsAustria
C1–1
G1–2
O1–1
▸Reasoning
  • C1–1(low) — Closely rated sides with Austria's depth balanced against Algeria's flair make this a near coin-flip.
  • G1–2(medium) — Austria's physical midfield and cohesive tactical approach are expected to narrowly overpower Algeria in a closely contested match.
  • O1–1(medium) — Austria have a modest Elo advantage and typically create more high-quality transitions, but Algeria’s physicality and wing play can neutralize and create a stalemate.
Jun 28, 02:00 UTC · round 3 · Dallas (Arlington)
JordanvsArgentina
C0–3
G0–3
O0–2
▸Reasoning
  • C0–3(high) — Argentina's elite quality should comfortably overwhelm the lowest-ranked team in the group.
  • G0–3(high) — A severe mismatch in Elo and individual quality points to a comfortable victory for the South American champions.
  • O0–2(high) — The Elo gap and Argentina’s superior control in possession plus defensive structure make an Argentina win the dominant outcome even if Jordan defend deep.

Group K

Jun 17, 17:00 UTC · round 1 · Houston
PortugalvsDR Congo
C2–0
G2–0
O2–0
▸Reasoning
  • C2–0(high) — Portugal's superior squad depth and individual quality should overcome a physical DR Congo side.
  • G2–0(high) — Portugal's overwhelming attacking depth and massive Elo advantage make them clear favorites against DR Congo.
  • O2–0(high) — Portugal’s large Elo edge and deeper squad quality should translate into sustained chance volume and territorial control over 90 minutes.
Jun 18, 02:00 UTC · round 1 · Mexico City
UzbekistanvsColombia
C1–2
G0–2
O0–1
▸Reasoning
  • C1–2(medium) — Colombia's attacking talent and higher ceiling outweigh Uzbekistan's organized but less dynamic setup.
  • G0–2(high) — Colombia's superior tactical organization and tournament experience easily outclass Uzbekistan's squad.
  • O0–1(medium) — Colombia’s higher Elo and stronger pressing/transition profiles make them likelier to create the decisive moments even if Uzbekistan keep it compact.
Jun 23, 17:00 UTC · round 2 · Houston
PortugalvsUzbekistan
C2–0
G3–0
O2–0
▸Reasoning
  • C2–0(high) — Portugal's elite firepower should break down Uzbekistan's compact defense over 90 minutes.
  • G3–0(high) — Uzbekistan will struggle significantly to contain Portugal's fluid attacking transitions and elite individual quality.
  • O2–0(high) — The talent gap plus Portugal’s ability to break down mid/low blocks with wide quality and set pieces points to a controlled win.
Jun 24, 02:00 UTC · round 2 · Guadalajara (Zapopan)
ColombiavsDR Congo
C2–1
G2–1
O2–1
▸Reasoning
  • C2–1(medium) — Colombia's creative midfield and finishing edge them ahead of an athletic DR Congo.
  • G2–1(medium) — Colombia's technical superiority in midfield should prevail, though DR Congo's physicality could pose a threat.
  • O2–1(medium) — Colombia’s superior midfield balance and chance creation should outweigh DR Congo’s athleticism and counter threat.
Jun 27, 23:30 UTC · round 3 · Miami (Miami Gardens)
ColombiavsPortugal
C1–1
G1–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
  • C1–1(low) — Two elite-level sides with similar Elo, but Portugal's overall depth gives a slight edge.
  • G1–1(medium) — Two evenly matched top-tier teams with nearly identical Elo ratings are highly likely to play out a tactical draw.
  • O1–1(medium) — With near-equal Elo, this profiles as tight and tactical, with Portugal slightly more likely to edge it but a draw the single most likely outcome.
Jun 27, 23:30 UTC · round 3 · Atlanta
DR CongovsUzbekistan
C1–1
G1–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
  • C1–1(low) — Closely matched mid-tier sides with comparable ratings make this the group's most open fixture.
  • G1–1(low) — Both teams are closely matched in strength and quality, likely cancelling each other out in a tight, low-scoring game.
  • O1–1(low) — The Elo gap is modest and styles clash (DR Congo direct/physical vs Uzbekistan structured), making a low-margin draw or one-goal game most probable.

Group L

Jun 17, 20:00 UTC · round 1 · Dallas (Arlington)
EnglandvsCroatia
C2–1
G2–1
O2–1
▸Reasoning
  • C2–1(medium) — England's superior squad depth and higher ratings edge an aging but tactically smart Croatia.
  • G2–1(medium) — England's attacking depth and superior Elo rating give them a slight edge, though Croatia's experienced midfield ensures a tight contest.
  • O2–1(medium) — England’s higher Elo/squad depth and ball-winning midfield edge Croatia, though Croatia’s midfield control keeps draw/one-goal outcomes live.
Jun 17, 23:00 UTC · round 1 · Toronto
GhanavsPanama
C1–1
G1–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
  • C1–1(low) — Closely matched sides with Ghana's individual talent offset by Panama's organization and higher ranking.
  • G1–1(low) — Panama has stronger recent form and a higher Elo rating, but Ghana's individual physical qualities should be enough to secure a draw.
  • O1–1(low) — Panama’s notably higher Elo and recent CONCACAF consistency slightly outweigh Ghana’s athleticism and transition threat in a tight matchup.
Jun 23, 20:00 UTC · round 2 · Boston (Foxborough)
EnglandvsGhana
C2–0
G3–0
O2–0
▸Reasoning
  • C2–0(high) — Significant gap in squad quality and ratings strongly favors England.
  • G3–0(high) — A significant mismatch in both Elo and tactical organization heavily favors a comfortable and dominant England victory.
  • O2–0(medium) — The Elo/FIFA gap plus England’s defensive structure against direct play makes an England win the modal result barring finishing variance.
Jun 23, 23:00 UTC · round 2 · Toronto
PanamavsCroatia
C1–2
G0–2
O1–2
▸Reasoning
  • C1–2(medium) — Croatia's experienced core and technical superiority should overcome Panama despite the underdog's resilience.
  • G0–2(medium) — Croatia's technical superiority, tactical discipline, and tournament pedigree should comfortably overcome Panama's defensive lines.
  • O1–2(medium) — Croatia’s superior technical quality and game management (Elo + experience) should tell over 90 minutes despite Panama’s compact, physical style.
Jun 27, 21:00 UTC · round 3 · New York/New Jersey (East Rutherford)
PanamavsEngland
C0–2
G0–2
O0–2
▸Reasoning
  • C0–2(high) — England's attacking quality and depth make them clear favorites over Panama.
  • G0–2(high) — England's overall quality across the pitch will be too much for Panama to handle, resulting in a routine win.
  • O0–2(medium) — England’s large Elo advantage and attacking depth against low blocks projects a controlled away win even with CONCACAF travel/conditions.
Jun 27, 21:00 UTC · round 3 · Philadelphia
CroatiavsGhana
C2–1
G2–0
O1–0
▸Reasoning
  • C2–1(medium) — Croatia's midfield control and tournament pedigree outweigh Ghana's pace and physicality.
  • G2–0(high) — Croatia's ability to control possession and dictate tempo will likely exploit Ghana's recent defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistencies.
  • O1–0(medium) — Croatia’s midfield control and tactical discipline are a strong counter to Ghana’s transition game, making a low-scoring Croatia win most likely.