Group-stage matches
72 matches, June 11–27. C = Claude · G = Gemini · O = OpenAI. Kickoff times in UTC.
Group A
Jun 11, 19:00 UTC · round 1 · Mexico City
MexicovsSouth Africa
C2–0
G2–0
O2–1
▸Reasoning
- C2–0(medium) — Host opener at Mexico City altitude tilts it strongly to Mexico.
- G2–0(high) — Home advantage and altitude in Mexico strongly favor the hosts against a weaker CAF opponent.
- O2–1(medium) — Mexico’s deeper squad and host/altitude edge in Mexico City tilt it, though South Africa’s transition threat keeps it competitive.
Jun 12, 02:00 UTC · round 1 · Guadalajara (Zapopan)
South KoreavsCzech Republic
C1–1
G1–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
- C1–1(low) — Two similar mid-tier sides; Son's edge is marginal.
- G1–1(medium) — A tight tactical matchup between UEFA structured play and South Korea's high-intensity transitions.
- O1–1(low) — Styles clash—Korea’s tempo and pressing versus Czech aerial/structure—projects as balanced with limited separation in neutral conditions.
Jun 18, 16:00 UTC · round 2 · Atlanta
Czech RepublicvsSouth Africa
C2–1
G2–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
- C2–1(medium) — Czech squad depth outweighs South Africa's pace.
- G2–1(high) — Czech Republic's superior squad depth and tactical discipline should overpower South Africa.
- O1–1(low) — Czech Republic have the stronger roster but travel/heat variance and South Africa’s athletic midfield make a draw a live outcome.
Jun 19, 01:00 UTC · round 2 · Guadalajara (Zapopan)
MexicovsSouth Korea
C2–1
G2–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
- C2–1(medium) — Mexico's altitude and crowd offset Korea's quality.
- G2–1(medium) — Mexico's home advantage gives them the edge, though South Korea's attacking threat poses risks.
- O1–1(medium) — South Korea’s pressing and wide pace can neutralize Mexico, but Mexico’s home conditions and set-piece quality make a draw most likely.
Jun 25, 01:00 UTC · round 3 · Mexico City
Czech RepublicvsMexico
C1–2
G1–1
O0–2
▸Reasoning
- C1–2(medium) — Mexico City venue makes Mexico the de-facto home side.
- G1–1(medium) — The Czechs will look to neutralize Mexico's home crowd with a solid defensive block, likely resulting in a draw.
- O0–2(medium) — Mexico’s ball progression and home advantage project better than a Czech side that can defend well but may struggle to create clear chances away from Europe.
Jun 25, 01:00 UTC · round 3 · Monterrey (Guadalupe)
South AfricavsSouth Korea
C1–2
G0–2
O0–1
▸Reasoning
- C1–2(low) — Korea's European-based core has the higher ceiling.
- G0–2(high) — South Korea's individual quality and European experience are too much for South Africa's defense.
- O0–1(medium) — South Korea’s higher baseline quality and more reliable chance creation should edge a low-scoring match against a compact South Africa.
Group B
Jun 12, 19:00 UTC · round 1 · Toronto
CanadavsBosnia & Herzegovina
C2–1
G2–1
O2–1
▸Reasoning
- C2–1(medium) — Home support nudges co-hosts Canada ahead of a streaky Bosnia.
- G2–1(high) — Canada's home advantage and pace in attack (Davies, David) will overwhelm a rebuilding Bosnian defense.
- O2–1(medium) — Canada’s press-and-break profile and broader squad athleticism should create more high-value chances than Bosnia, whose outcomes skew on a few key attackers and set pieces.
Jun 13, 19:00 UTC · round 1 · San Francisco Bay Area (Santa Clara)
QatarvsSwitzerland
C0–2
G0–2
O0–2
▸Reasoning
- C0–2(high) — Switzerland's organisation and individual quality clearly outclass Qatar.
- G0–2(high) — Switzerland's superior midfield control and tournament experience will comfortably handle the Asian champions.
- O0–2(high) — Ranking, squad quality, and Switzerland’s controlled tempo plus aerial/second-ball edge make them a strong favorite, with Qatar needing a near-perfect low-block game to draw.
Jun 18, 19:00 UTC · round 2 · Los Angeles (Inglewood)
SwitzerlandvsBosnia & Herzegovina
C2–1
G2–0
O2–0
▸Reasoning
- C2–1(medium) — Swiss tournament reliability edges a talented but fragile Bosnia.
- G2–0(medium) — Switzerland's structured defense and consistent European pedigree give them a clear edge over an inconsistent Bosnia.
- O2–0(high) — Switzerland’s compact 4-2-3-1/3-4-2-1 variants and set-piece threat match up well against Bosnia’s slower defensive transitions and limited depth.
Jun 18, 22:00 UTC · round 2 · Vancouver
CanadavsQatar
C2–0
G3–1
O2–0
▸Reasoning
- C2–0(medium) — Canada's pace and home crowd should break Qatar down.
- G3–1(high) — Canada's physical intensity and direct counter-attacks will exploit Qatar's defensive frailties seen against higher-paced opposition.
- O2–0(medium) — Canada’s physicality and directness typically translate better against mid-block opponents, while Qatar’s possession phases can struggle to generate quality chances versus stronger athletes.
Jun 24, 19:00 UTC · round 3 · Vancouver
SwitzerlandvsCanada
C1–1
G1–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
- C1–1(low) — Swiss class versus Canadian home advantage in Vancouver — a coin-flip.
- G1–1(medium) — A tight tactical battle between Switzerland's possession game and Canada's explosive transitions, likely ending in a draw.
- O1–1(medium) — Switzerland’s deeper tournament-tested spine and defensive structure edge it, but Canada’s transition pace and athleticism keep this close and draw-prone at a neutral 2026 venue.
Jun 24, 19:00 UTC · round 3 · Seattle
Bosnia & HerzegovinavsQatar
C2–1
G1–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
- C2–1(medium) — Bosnia's attacking threat carries a must-win final group game.
- G1–1(low) — Both teams will struggle to break down the other, with Bosnia's physicality neutralized by Qatar's conservative setup.
- O1–1(low) — Both sides are inconsistent in chance creation and can become set-piece reliant, so a low-margin match with a high draw probability is the most likely outcome.
Group C
Jun 13, 22:00 UTC · round 1 · New York/New Jersey (East Rutherford)
BrazilvsMorocco
C2–1
G2–1
O2–1
▸Reasoning
- C2–1(medium) — Brazil favoured but 2022 semi-finalists Morocco keep it close.
- G2–1(medium) — Brazil's superior attacking depth edges out Morocco's resilient defensive setup, though it will be tightly contested.
- O2–1(medium) — Brazil’s superior squad depth and chance creation edge outweigh Morocco’s elite defensive structure and transition threat, making a tight Brazil win most likely.
Jun 14, 01:00 UTC · round 1 · Boston (Foxborough)
HaitivsScotland
C0–2
G0–2
O0–2
▸Reasoning
- C0–2(medium) — Scotland's European pedigree and set-pieces outgun debutants Haiti.
- G0–2(high) — Scotland's physical midfield and European tactical discipline should easily overwhelm the CONCACAF underdogs.
- O0–2(medium) — Scotland’s physicality, set-piece volume and sustained territory advantage should translate into goals against a Haiti side that struggles to defend long phases.
Jun 19, 22:00 UTC · round 2 · Boston (Foxborough)
ScotlandvsMorocco
C1–2
G1–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
- C1–2(medium) — Morocco's deeper, in-form squad should prevail.
- G1–1(low) — A very even match where Scotland's tenacity matches Morocco's technical midfield, resulting in a likely draw.
- O1–1(low) — Both sides are organized, defense-first and strong in duels/set pieces, so a low-scoring draw is slightly more likely than either team separating.
Jun 20, 24:30 UTC · round 2 · Philadelphia
BrazilvsHaiti
C3–0
G4–0
O3–0
▸Reasoning
- C3–0(high) — Clear gulf in individual quality favours Brazil heavily.
- G4–0(high) — Brazil's world-class forwards face a porous defense, creating a high probability for a comfortable, multi-goal victory.
- O3–0(high) — Brazil’s talent gap and pressing-to-penalty-box efficiency should overwhelm Haiti over 90 minutes even with conservative game-state management.
Jun 24, 22:00 UTC · round 3 · Miami (Miami Gardens)
ScotlandvsBrazil
C0–2
G0–2
O0–2
▸Reasoning
- C0–2(high) — Brazil's attacking talent overwhelms a defensive Scotland.
- G0–2(medium) — While Scotland may defend deep, Brazil's individual brilliance will eventually break down the low block.
- O0–2(medium) — Scotland’s compact block and set-piece danger can keep it close, but Brazil’s individual quality in wide areas and depth typically break such defenses.
Jun 24, 22:00 UTC · round 3 · Atlanta
MoroccovsHaiti
C2–0
G3–0
O2–0
▸Reasoning
- C2–0(high) — Morocco's structure and quality see off Haiti comfortably.
- G3–0(high) — Morocco's dynamic wingers will exploit the spaces left by Haiti, ensuring a dominant win for the Atlas Lions.
- O2–0(medium) — Morocco’s disciplined 4-3-3/4-1-4-1 pressing triggers and athletic back line should limit Haiti’s counters while creating enough from wide overloads.
Group D
Jun 13, 01:00 UTC · round 1 · Los Angeles (Inglewood)
USAvsParaguay
C2–1
G2–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
- C2–1(medium) — Host energy and a young US core edge a gritty Paraguay.
- G2–1(medium) — USA benefits from home-field advantage and a dynamic young core, though Paraguay remains defensively resilient.
- O1–1(medium) — USA’s home-edge and depth balance Paraguay’s compact, transition-oriented style, making a tight, low-variance match most likely to land level.
Jun 14, 04:00 UTC · round 1 · Vancouver
AustraliavsTurkey
C1–2
G0–2
O1–2
▸Reasoning
- C1–2(medium) — Turkey's European-based talent has the higher ceiling.
- G0–2(high) — Turkey's technical superiority in midfield and attack will likely overwhelm Australia's disciplined but rigid setup.
- O1–2(medium) — Turkey’s ball progression and finishing quality are favored, while Australia’s aerial threat keeps the game competitive and reduces certainty.
Jun 19, 19:00 UTC · round 2 · Seattle
USAvsAustralia
C2–1
G2–0
O2–1
▸Reasoning
- C2–1(medium) — Home advantage and pace favour the USA over a physical Australia.
- G2–0(high) — With strong home support, the USA's pace and fluidity in wide areas should exploit Australia's defensive gaps.
- O2–1(medium) — USA’s higher attacking ceiling and host advantage slightly outweigh Australia’s physicality and set-piece threat in a game where margins are small.
Jun 20, 03:00 UTC · round 2 · San Francisco Bay Area (Santa Clara)
TurkeyvsParaguay
C2–1
G1–1
O1–0
▸Reasoning
- C2–1(medium) — Turkey's attacking quality outweighs Paraguay's defensive setup.
- G1–1(medium) — A clash of styles where Turkey's creative possession meets Paraguay's physical low block, likely resulting in a hard-fought stalemate.
- O1–0(low) — Turkey’s chance creation and technical quality give them an edge, but Paraguay’s compact block keeps draw probability high.
Jun 26, 02:00 UTC · round 3 · Los Angeles (Inglewood)
TurkeyvsUSA
C1–1
G1–1
O1–2
▸Reasoning
- C1–1(low) — Turkey's quality versus US home crowd makes this a toss-up.
- G1–1(medium) — An evenly matched contest between Turkey's technical quality and the USA's athleticism and home-crowd energy.
- O1–2(medium) — Turkey’s technical midfield can control phases but USA’s athletic press and crowd/conditions edge tilt a close matchup toward a narrow USA win.
Jun 26, 02:00 UTC · round 3 · San Francisco Bay Area (Santa Clara)
ParaguayvsAustralia
C1–1
G1–0
O1–0
▸Reasoning
- C1–1(low) — Two well-matched, defensively sound sides likely to share points.
- G1–0(low) — Paraguay's edge in individual quality and CONMEBOL qualifying grit gives them a narrow advantage in a tight, low-scoring game.
- O1–0(low) — Paraguay’s defensive structure and game management slightly profile better than Australia’s open-play creation, pointing to a low-scoring result.
Group E
Jun 14, 17:00 UTC · round 1 · Houston
GermanyvsCuraçao
C3–0
G4–0
O3–0
▸Reasoning
- C3–0(high) — Germany's depth dwarfs Curaçao's first-ever World Cup squad.
- G4–0(high) — Germany's overwhelming squad depth, tactical maturity, and world-class midfield will easily dismantle Curaçao's inexperienced defense.
- O3–0(high) — Germany’s depth, pressing structure and set-piece threat should overwhelm a Curaçao side that will likely defend deep and struggle to progress the ball under pressure.
Jun 14, 23:00 UTC · round 1 · Philadelphia
Ivory CoastvsEcuador
C1–1
G1–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
- C1–1(low) — Ecuador's stingy defence cancels Ivory Coast's attacking edge.
- G1–1(medium) — A highly physical and balanced encounter, with Ivory Coast's attacking flair neutralized by Ecuador's structured defense.
- O1–1(low) — Both sides are strong in transitions and set pieces with similar overall level, making a marginal, draw-prone matchup where finishing variance decides.
Jun 20, 20:00 UTC · round 2 · Toronto
GermanyvsIvory Coast
C2–1
G2–1
O2–1
▸Reasoning
- C2–1(medium) — Germany's control should overcome Ivory Coast's athleticism.
- G2–1(medium) — Germany's structured possession play ultimately breaks down a resilient Ivorian side that will pose significant counter-attacking threats.
- O2–1(medium) — Ivory Coast’s athleticism and transition danger can create moments, but Germany’s control in possession and chance volume give them the edge.
Jun 21, 24:00 UTC · round 2 · Kansas City
EcuadorvsCuraçao
C2–0
G2–0
O1–0
▸Reasoning
- C2–0(medium) — Ecuador's physical, organised side is a clear step up on Curaçao.
- G2–0(high) — Ecuador's high-intensity pressing and physical dominance in midfield will comfortably suffocate Curaçao's limited attacking options.
- O1–0(medium) — Ecuador are likely to manage the game with ball-winning midfielders and direct wide attacks, while Curaçao may lack consistent final-third output.
Jun 25, 20:00 UTC · round 3 · Philadelphia
CuraçaovsIvory Coast
C0–2
G0–3
O0–2
▸Reasoning
- C0–2(medium) — Ivory Coast's quality should be too much for Curaçao.
- G0–3(high) — Ivory Coast's superior athleticism and top-tier attacking talent will outclass Curaçao across the pitch.
- O0–2(high) — Ivory Coast’s pace, physicality and ability to win duels should translate into sustained territory and higher-quality chances than Curaçao can generate.
Jun 25, 20:00 UTC · round 3 · New York/New Jersey (East Rutherford)
EcuadorvsGermany
C1–2
G1–2
O1–2
▸Reasoning
- C1–2(medium) — Germany's superior squad edges a resilient Ecuador.
- G1–2(medium) — Germany's clinical finishing and disciplined transitions give them a slight edge over a tough, hard-tackling Ecuadorian squad.
- O1–2(medium) — Ecuador’s compact mid-block and aerial/transition strengths keep it close, yet Germany’s technical quality and bench options tilt a tight game.
Group F
Jun 14, 20:00 UTC · round 1 · Dallas (Arlington)
NetherlandsvsJapan
C2–1
G2–1
O2–1
▸Reasoning
- C2–1(medium) — Dutch quality favoured, but Japan's press makes it competitive.
- G2–1(medium) — Netherlands' superior individual quality should overcome Japan's organized pressing, though it will be tight.
- O2–1(medium) — Netherlands’ superior top-end talent and aerial/transition threat should edge a well-coached Japan side that keeps it close through structure and pressing.
Jun 15, 02:00 UTC · round 1 · Monterrey (Guadalupe)
SwedenvsTunisia
C1–1
G1–0
O2–0
▸Reasoning
- C1–1(low) — Sweden's attack against Tunisia's discipline points to a tight game.
- G1–0(medium) — Sweden's attacking firepower with Isak and Gyökeres gives them the edge against a resilient Tunisian defense.
- O2–0(medium) — Sweden’s crossing, set-piece volume, and defensive stability are a strong profile against Tunisia’s limited progression and finishing.
Jun 20, 17:00 UTC · round 2 · Houston
NetherlandsvsSweden
C2–0
G2–0
O1–1
▸Reasoning
- C2–0(medium) — Netherlands' all-round quality outweighs Sweden's.
- G2–0(high) — The Dutch midfield control and defensive solidity will likely neutralize Sweden's direct attacking threats.
- O1–1(medium) — Sweden’s physicality and set-piece strength can neutralize Dutch build-up for long spells, making a tight, low-margin draw likely.
Jun 21, 04:00 UTC · round 2 · Monterrey (Guadalupe)
TunisiavsJapan
C0–2
G0–1
O0–1
▸Reasoning
- C0–2(medium) — Japan's technical edge breaks down a compact Tunisia.
- G0–1(medium) — Japan's technical midfield and pace out wide should eventually break down Tunisia's low block.
- O0–1(medium) — Japan’s compact pressing and ball security should generate just enough chances while Tunisia’s low block keeps the scoreline narrow.
Jun 25, 23:00 UTC · round 3 · Dallas (Arlington)
JapanvsSweden
C1–1
G1–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
- C1–1(low) — Japan's tempo against Sweden's physicality is finely balanced.
- G1–1(low) — A tactical stalemate between Japan's organized transition play and Sweden's physical attacking threats.
- O1–1(low) — Japan’s tempo and combination play meets Sweden’s directness and box presence in a matchup that tends to hinge on a few moments and set pieces.
Jun 25, 23:00 UTC · round 3 · Kansas City
TunisiavsNetherlands
C0–2
G0–3
O0–2
▸Reasoning
- C0–2(high) — Netherlands' class should comfortably overcome Tunisia.
- G0–3(high) — The Netherlands possess too much attacking variety and squad depth for Tunisia to contain over 90 minutes.
- O0–2(high) — The Dutch should control territory and chance quality against a Tunisia team that defends deep but struggles to create enough high-quality looks.
Group G
Jun 15, 19:00 UTC · round 1 · Seattle
BelgiumvsEgypt
C2–1
G2–1
O2–1
▸Reasoning
- C2–1(medium) — Belgium's golden-gen depth edges a Salah-led Egypt.
- G2–1(high) — Belgium's superior midfield control and attacking depth outmatch Egypt's reliance on counter-attacks.
- O2–1(medium) — Belgium’s deeper squad and chance creation edge them, but Egypt’s compact 4-3-3 and counter threat keep it tight, especially if played in heat.
Jun 16, 01:00 UTC · round 1 · Los Angeles (Inglewood)
IranvsNew Zealand
C2–0
G1–0
O1–0
▸Reasoning
- C2–0(medium) — Iran's experience and structure outclass New Zealand.
- G1–0(medium) — Iran's defensive solidity and tournament experience give them a narrow edge over a physical New Zealand side.
- O1–0(medium) — Iran’s structured pressing-to-block approach and game management give them the edge, though New Zealand’s aerial threat keeps draw probability relatively high.
Jun 21, 19:00 UTC · round 2 · Los Angeles (Inglewood)
BelgiumvsIran
C1–0
G2–0
O1–0
▸Reasoning
- C1–0(medium) — Belgium favoured but Iran's low block keeps the margin slim.
- G2–0(high) — Belgium's sustained attacking pressure will eventually break down Iran's low block.
- O1–0(medium) — Iran’s low-block and set-piece resilience often suppresses margins, yet Belgium’s superior individual quality in the final third should find a decisive moment.
Jun 22, 01:00 UTC · round 2 · Vancouver
New ZealandvsEgypt
C0–2
G0–2
O0–2
▸Reasoning
- C0–2(medium) — Egypt's quality, led by Salah, is a level above New Zealand.
- G0–2(high) — Egypt's pace in transition will exploit New Zealand's defensive vulnerabilities.
- O0–2(medium) — Egypt’s athletic wide play and stronger attacking talent should translate into territory and chances, while New Zealand’s path to goals is limited without sustained set-piece dominance.
Jun 27, 03:00 UTC · round 3 · Seattle
EgyptvsIran
C1–1
G1–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
- C1–1(low) — Two cagey, well-drilled sides likely cancel each other out.
- G1–1(medium) — A tight, tactical encounter between two evenly matched teams prioritizing defensive organization.
- O1–1(low) — Both sides are tactically conservative and well-drilled defensively, making a low-event match likely where a set piece or transition can swing it either way.
Jun 27, 03:00 UTC · round 3 · Vancouver
New ZealandvsBelgium
C0–2
G0–3
O0–3
▸Reasoning
- C0–2(high) — Belgium's talent gap over New Zealand is decisive.
- G0–3(high) — A significant mismatch in individual quality and tactical sophistication heavily favors Belgium.
- O0–3(high) — Belgium’s technical level and depth should overwhelm New Zealand across 90 minutes, with New Zealand struggling to sustain possession or defend wide areas.
Group H
Jun 15, 16:00 UTC · round 1 · Atlanta
SpainvsCape Verde
C3–0
G3–0
O2–0
▸Reasoning
- C3–0(high) — European champions Spain far outclass debutants Cape Verde.
- G3–0(high) — Spain's elite midfield possession will systematically dismantle Cape Verde's defensive block.
- O2–0(medium) — Spain’s possession structure and depth should pin Cape Verde back for long stretches, with talent gap and tournament experience outweighing Cape Verde’s athletic transition threat.
Jun 15, 22:00 UTC · round 1 · Miami (Miami Gardens)
Saudi ArabiavsUruguay
C0–2
G0–2
O0–1
▸Reasoning
- C0–2(medium) — Uruguay's experienced core has the clear edge.
- G0–2(high) — Uruguay's relentless high press under Marcelo Bielsa will force critical errors from the Saudi backline.
- O0–1(medium) — Saudi Arabia can keep blocks compact, but Uruguay’s physical edge, set-piece quality and ability to win territory should produce enough high-leverage moments to edge it.
Jun 21, 16:00 UTC · round 2 · Atlanta
SpainvsSaudi Arabia
C3–0
G2–0
O2–0
▸Reasoning
- C3–0(high) — Spain's possession game should dismantle Saudi Arabia.
- G2–0(high) — Saudi Arabia's pragmatic defensive setup under Donis will limit the scoreline, but Spain's quality will eventually break through.
- O2–0(medium) — Saudi Arabia’s compact 4-4-2/4-5-1 can delay chances, but Spain’s chance volume and pressing should eventually create high-quality looks while limiting counters.
Jun 21, 22:00 UTC · round 2 · Miami (Miami Gardens)
UruguayvsCape Verde
C2–0
G2–0
O2–0
▸Reasoning
- C2–0(medium) — Uruguay's pedigree is well above Cape Verde's.
- G2–0(high) — Uruguay's verticality and attacking firepower will be too much for Cape Verde to contain over 90 minutes.
- O2–0(medium) — Uruguay’s midfield ball-winning and vertical progression should repeatedly generate transition and set-piece opportunities, while Cape Verde may struggle to sustain pressure or defend crosses.
Jun 27, 24:00 UTC · round 3 · Houston
Cape VerdevsSaudi Arabia
C1–1
G1–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
- C1–1(low) — Evenly matched outsiders fighting for a likely dead-rubber point.
- G1–1(medium) — A tense, evenly matched tactical battle as both teams prioritize not losing in pursuit of third place.
- O1–1(low) — These sides are closer in baseline quality, with Cape Verde’s physicality and set-piece threat offset by Saudi Arabia’s organization and counter-attacking patterns.
Jun 27, 24:00 UTC · round 3 · Guadalajara (Zapopan)
UruguayvsSpain
C1–2
G1–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
- C1–2(medium) — Spain's midfield control edges a physical Uruguay.
- G1–1(medium) — A classic clash of styles ending in a stalemate, with Uruguay's disruptive pressing neutralizing Spain's possession dominance.
- O1–1(low) — Uruguay’s directness, aerial/transition threat and elite defensive spine match up well against Spain’s high line, making a tight, low-margin draw slightly likelier than either side winning.
Group I
Jun 16, 19:00 UTC · round 1 · New York/New Jersey (East Rutherford)
FrancevsSenegal
C2–1
G2–0
O2–1
▸Reasoning
- C2–1(medium) — France favoured, but Senegal's athleticism makes it a test.
- G2–0(high) — France's superior depth and attacking prowess, led by Mbappe, give them a clear edge over Senegal.
- O2–1(medium) — France’s deeper squad and higher ceiling in chance creation should edge a physically strong Senegal side, though transition threat keeps it close in likely warm/variable North American conditions.
Jun 16, 22:00 UTC · round 1 · Boston (Foxborough)
IraqvsNorway
C0–2
G0–2
O0–2
▸Reasoning
- C0–2(medium) — Haaland-led Norway have far more firepower than Iraq.
- G0–2(high) — Haaland's world-class finishing should be too much for Iraq's defense to handle.
- O0–2(medium) — Norway’s superior attacking quality and aerial/direct options should translate into a clear xG edge, while Iraq may struggle to sustain pressure or defend repeated entries.
Jun 22, 21:00 UTC · round 2 · Philadelphia
FrancevsIraq
C3–0
G3–0
O3–0
▸Reasoning
- C3–0(high) — France's depth overwhelms Iraq.
- G3–0(high) — A significant mismatch in quality where France is expected to dominate possession and chances.
- O3–0(high) — France’s elite talent and tactical control should overwhelm Iraq over 90 minutes, with quality depth reducing upset risk even if conditions are taxing.
Jun 23, 24:00 UTC · round 2 · New York/New Jersey (East Rutherford)
NorwayvsSenegal
C1–1
G1–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
- C1–1(low) — Norway's attack versus Senegal's power is a genuine coin-flip.
- G1–1(medium) — A tightly contested matchup balancing Norway's attacking stars against Senegal's defensive resilience and physicality.
- O1–1(low) — Styles clash evenly—Senegal’s pace/duels versus Norway’s direct threat—making a balanced matchup where game state and finishing variance drive a draw-heavy distribution.
Jun 26, 19:00 UTC · round 3 · Boston (Foxborough)
NorwayvsFrance
C1–2
G1–2
O0–2
▸Reasoning
- C1–2(medium) — France's balance edges Norway despite Haaland's threat.
- G1–2(medium) — While Norway can score, France's overall squad depth and tactical versatility make them the favorites.
- O0–2(medium) — Norway’s top-end finishing threat is real but France’s midfield/defensive structure and superior roster balance should limit service and win by a clear margin.
Jun 26, 19:00 UTC · round 3 · Toronto
SenegalvsIraq
C2–0
G2–0
O2–0
▸Reasoning
- C2–0(medium) — Senegal's quality and power should see off Iraq.
- G2–0(high) — Senegal's greater international experience and athleticism provide a clear advantage over Iraq.
- O2–0(medium) — Senegal’s athleticism and pressing should generate higher-volume chances than Iraq can match, with set-piece and transition edges likely decisive.
Group J
Jun 17, 01:00 UTC · round 1 · Kansas City
ArgentinavsAlgeria
C2–0
G2–0
O2–0
▸Reasoning
- C2–0(medium) — Holders Argentina have the class to control Algeria.
- G2–0(high) — Argentina's midfield dominance and elite defensive organization will stifle Algeria's transition threats.
- O2–0(medium) — Argentina’s deeper squad and elite chance creation should control the game, while Algeria’s transition threat is real but typically needs higher-variance moments to upset top sides.
Jun 17, 04:00 UTC · round 1 · San Francisco Bay Area (Santa Clara)
AustriavsJordan
C2–0
G3–0
O2–0
▸Reasoning
- C2–0(medium) — Austria's European quality outranks debutants Jordan.
- G3–0(high) — Rangnick's relentless pressing system should force multiple turnovers against a Jordanian side unaccustomed to this intensity.
- O2–0(medium) — Austria’s pressing triggers and territorial control should pin Jordan back, with Jordan needing rare transitions to threaten consistently.
Jun 22, 17:00 UTC · round 2 · Dallas (Arlington)
ArgentinavsAustria
C2–1
G2–1
O2–1
▸Reasoning
- C2–1(medium) — Argentina favoured but a well-drilled Austria can score.
- G2–1(medium) — Austria's physical pressing will disrupt Argentina at times, but the individual brilliance of the reigning champions will break the deadlock.
- O2–1(medium) — Austria’s well-drilled press and set-piece edge can stress Argentina, but Argentina’s top-end attackers and big-game management tilt a tight match their way.
Jun 23, 03:00 UTC · round 2 · San Francisco Bay Area (Santa Clara)
JordanvsAlgeria
C0–1
G1–2
O1–2
▸Reasoning
- C0–1(low) — Algeria's individual quality narrowly favours them.
- G1–2(medium) — Algeria's superior attacking depth and European-pedigree forwards give them the edge in a tightly contested fixture against Jordan's counter-attacks.
- O1–2(medium) — Algeria’s stronger midfield ball-winning and flank progression should generate more shots, though Jordan can keep it close via compact defending and set pieces.
Jun 28, 02:00 UTC · round 3 · Kansas City
AlgeriavsAustria
C1–1
G1–2
O1–1
▸Reasoning
- C1–1(low) — Two evenly matched sides likely to split the points.
- G1–2(medium) — Austria's structural discipline and cohesive midfield engine provide a slight advantage over a sometimes defensively vulnerable Algerian side.
- O1–1(low) — Austria’s structured intensity gives them a slight edge, but Algeria’s athletic wide play and counterattacks make this a high-variance, draw-prone matchup.
Jun 28, 02:00 UTC · round 3 · Dallas (Arlington)
JordanvsArgentina
C0–3
G0–3
O0–3
▸Reasoning
- C0–3(high) — Argentina's quality gap over Jordan is overwhelming.
- G0–3(high) — Even with potential squad rotation for the final match, Argentina's overwhelming depth and technical superiority will comfortably dispatch Jordan's low block.
- O0–3(high) — The talent gap and Argentina’s ability to break low blocks with multiple creators makes a controlled win likely even with some rotation.
Group K
Jun 17, 17:00 UTC · round 1 · Houston
PortugalvsDR Congo
C2–0
G2–0
O2–0
▸Reasoning
- C2–0(medium) — Portugal's depth outclasses an athletic DR Congo.
- G2–0(high) — Portugal's overwhelming quality in midfield and attack should easily break down DR Congo's defense.
- O2–0(high) — Portugal’s depth, chance creation and tournament management should overwhelm DR Congo, whose transition threat is real but likely limited by Portugal’s control and defensive structure.
Jun 18, 02:00 UTC · round 1 · Mexico City
UzbekistanvsColombia
C0–2
G0–2
O0–1
▸Reasoning
- C0–2(medium) — Colombia's South American pedigree edges debutants Uzbekistan.
- G0–2(high) — Colombia's tactical discipline and superior attacking options will be too much for debutants Uzbekistan.
- O0–1(medium) — Uzbekistan can defend compactly but Colombia’s structured buildup and set-piece threat make them likelier to find the decisive goal.
Jun 23, 17:00 UTC · round 2 · Houston
PortugalvsUzbekistan
C2–0
G3–0
O2–1
▸Reasoning
- C2–0(high) — Portugal's quality should comfortably see off Uzbekistan.
- G3–0(high) — Portugal's technical superiority and depth will control the game against a defensive Uzbekistan side.
- O2–1(medium) — Uzbekistan’s compact low block can keep it close, but Portugal’s superior wide quality and set-piece edge tilt a narrow win.
Jun 24, 02:00 UTC · round 2 · Guadalajara (Zapopan)
ColombiavsDR Congo
C2–1
G2–1
O1–0
▸Reasoning
- C2–1(medium) — Colombia's cohesion edges a physical DR Congo.
- G2–1(medium) — A competitive and physical match, but Colombia's edge in individual brilliance secures the win.
- O1–0(medium) — Colombia’s midfield control and more reliable chance conversion should prevail against DR Congo, even if athletic duels keep margins small.
Jun 27, 23:30 UTC · round 3 · Miami (Miami Gardens)
ColombiavsPortugal
C1–1
G1–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
- C1–1(low) — Two strong sides in a likely group-deciding draw.
- G1–1(medium) — Both teams will likely have secured qualification, leading to a balanced and cautious draw.
- O1–1(medium) — Colombia’s cohesive pressing-and-counter profile matches up well with Portugal’s possession game, making a balanced, low-error draw the most likely.
Jun 27, 23:30 UTC · round 3 · Atlanta
DR CongovsUzbekistan
C1–1
G1–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
- C1–1(low) — Evenly matched outsiders likely to share the spoils.
- G1–1(low) — An evenly matched contest where both teams will push for a win, likely resulting in a stalemate.
- O1–1(low) — Both sides are tactically conservative with limited elite finishing, so a tight match with few high-quality chances points to a draw.
Group L
Jun 17, 20:00 UTC · round 1 · Dallas (Arlington)
EnglandvsCroatia
C2–1
G2–1
O2–1
▸Reasoning
- C2–1(medium) — England's depth edges an ageing but wily Croatia.
- G2–1(high) — England's superior attacking depth led by Bellingham and Kane overrides Croatia's controlled midfield.
- O2–1(medium) — England’s deeper squad and attacking depth edge a still-elite but aging Croatian core, with tactical balance likely producing a tight match.
Jun 17, 23:00 UTC · round 1 · Toronto
GhanavsPanama
C2–1
G1–0
O2–1
▸Reasoning
- C2–1(medium) — Ghana's athleticism narrowly favours them over Panama.
- G1–0(medium) — Ghana's top-tier European experience, particularly with Kudus, gives them a slight edge over an organized Panama side.
- O2–1(medium) — Ghana’s pace and individual quality in wide areas should generate more high-value chances than Panama across a single match.
Jun 23, 20:00 UTC · round 2 · Boston (Foxborough)
EnglandvsGhana
C2–0
G2–0
O2–0
▸Reasoning
- C2–0(medium) — England's quality should control Ghana.
- G2–0(high) — England's disciplined defense and clinical finishing should comfortably dispatch a talented but inconsistent Ghanaian team.
- O2–0(medium) — England’s control in possession and set-piece threat should limit Ghana’s transition game over 90 minutes.
Jun 23, 23:00 UTC · round 2 · Toronto
PanamavsCroatia
C0–2
G0–2
O0–2
▸Reasoning
- C0–2(medium) — Croatia's midfield experience outclasses Panama.
- G0–2(high) — Croatia's midfield control and tournament pedigree will systematically break down Panama's defensive setup.
- O0–2(medium) — Croatia’s structure and game management should create enough chances while minimizing Panama’s limited attacking output.
Jun 27, 21:00 UTC · round 3 · New York/New Jersey (East Rutherford)
PanamavsEngland
C0–2
G0–3
O0–3
▸Reasoning
- C0–2(high) — England's talent is a clear level above Panama.
- G0–3(high) — A significant mismatch in overall squad quality points to a comfortable multi-goal victory for England.
- O0–3(high) — Talent gap and England’s ability to break down lower blocks make a comfortable win the most likely outcome.
Jun 27, 21:00 UTC · round 3 · Philadelphia
CroatiavsGhana
C2–1
G2–1
O1–1
▸Reasoning
- C2–1(medium) — Croatia's control edges a spirited Ghana.
- G2–1(medium) — Croatia's tactical maturity and set-piece efficiency should secure a narrow victory in a highly competitive fixture.
- O1–1(low) — Croatia’s midfield control meets Ghana’s athletic pressing and counter threat, making a draw a strong outcome in a low-margin game.